About the Author: Therran Oliphant

 

Polk's new Product Strategist for Digital Marketing, Therran, can be thought of as serious but sometimes silly. He has the ideal new job since he loves to use technological tools to come up with innovative ideas. Therran enjoys Polk's uniqueness and the fact that we deal with the manufacturing, advertising and automotive business verticals. It's no surprise that he is a car nut. When he's not using his passionate focus to solve customer problems, Therran is playing football and basketball (fantasy and real-life), working out, reading, checking out new technology or involved with community service. One thing that may surprise you about this techie is that Therran is anti-Apple (yep, he's not down with Jobs!)

Therran's first name (Greek origin Theron) means "Hunter" and his last name comes from the Scottish word for "Great Strength." With that namesake, he may just have a survival show on NatGeo someday, but not anytime soon. His new role at Polk is a perfect complement to his skills and interests.

Toyota Tests Twitter

Wednesday, August 11, 2010 by Therran Oliphant
As I'm sure you're aware, Toyota found themselves the ire of Congress, their customers and general car enthusiasts alike earlier this year. You only have to go to the Toyota Press Room to see why. Their recall obligations are substantial. So, it is no surprise that they jumped on a set of good news, like The Fresh Prince and his cousin Carlton when "Apache" by the Sugar Hill Gang is played. Toyota is giving everyone the "I told you so" face ever since a NHTSA report came out, citing driver error as the most likely cause of the infamous sticking accelerator debacle. To this end, Steve St. Angelo (Toyota's Chief Quality Officer) made his way to the social media landscape, via Twitter, to talk Toyota safety issues.

As far as I know, Toyota is the first OEM to do a live chat concerning Aftersales issues on Twitter. For those unfamiliar, a Twitter live chat (or Tweetchat) happens when you use a hash tag (# symbol plus corresponding text) that all users can plug in to their Twitter stream to follow and/or join in on a conversation. The hash tag must be used in every message and reply for the live chat idea to work properly. Toyota used the hash tag #TQS for Mr. St. Angelo's chat on August 10.

While it was a great idea and there were some excellent questions posed, I think that the chat fell flat. Only 10 questions were answered out of 25 posed; many of the technical questions (especially those posed by @SeanKHotay) were largely ignored; and the post comments from the community weren't very favorable, sans a few Toyota slappies that sounded like plants. As a company that largely "didn't get it," in the traditional media space, by not answering questions, deflecting blame and generally appearing uncaring their Tweetchat was a yawner. Luckily, this came on the heels of positive news for the troubled automaker.

Regardless, let this be a lesson for anyone looking to employ social media as a part of their PR strategy - don't do it for a headline but attempt to be genuine and authentic when dealing with your publics. Also, be prepared to answer tough questions. There are some very intelligent and well read people about your products throughout the social-sphere. If you appear to be selective in what you answer, the negative can outweigh the attempt at connecting.

What did you think of Toyota's Twitter attempt? Were you satisfied with their answers or were you left wanting more like me?

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Product Strategist, Polk (08.11.2010)

Is Retargeting Right for You?

Wednesday, July 14, 2010 by Therran Oliphant
I have to admit, I have recently become fascinated by the opportunities retargeting represents. If you're not familiar with it, retargeting is the process by which an advertiser can make your display ads (re)appear to a web surfer that has visited your online location but failed to make a purchase decision. For instance, if I visit the Reebok website and surf around - without leaving my info or making a purchase - then decide I want to read a blog, I might end up seeing a retargeted Reebok ad on that blog. This is all true, as long as the blog is in the retargeting ad company's network, allows targeted ads, etc.

This is happening with increasing frequency and the question of preparedness should be asked of everyone in the automotive industry, that advertises online. The reason being is, studies show Americans as 49% more likely to visit a site when previously exposed to that brand's messages, and Europeans as a whopping 72% more likely. The numbers are staggering, so you may be wondering why I'm asking the question of whether or not it is right for you. I have two main reasons:

Privacy - Many are worried about privacy issues, as they don't really understand targeting online. Education is the key to overcoming this issue, as online consumer research and targeting rarely keep any personally identifiable information. In fact, businesses should be aware that their advertisers are not violating the privacy of their traffic very much at all. Honestly, social media sites such as Facebook collect more information than retargeting companies.

The quest to help the US become a more advertising savvy society has been taken up by iab with their Privacy Matters campaign. I suggest reading through the site. It only takes about 15 minutes, but answers questions and dispels myths without using much technical language.

Patience - Even though there are positive numbers surrounding the brand affinity of "before seen" brands, the Click-Through Rate (CTR) numbers don't correlate on a 1:1 basis. This statistic occurs because not all site visits and inquiries are immediately derived from a click action on the display ad. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that multiple exposures and a little time are necessary for the effect of the ads to cause action.

Also, it means that simple quantitative analysis won't tell the whole story. Instead, a mix of quantitative and qualitative analysis should be used to help measure the effectiveness of the campaign. Yes, this is slightly tedious, but a 49% increase in intention to visit your online location(s) should get your attention. 

If you want to try something that is underutilized and has enormous potential, look toward ad retargeting. According to MarketingCharts.com, retargeting is the most underutilized online marketing technology - ahead of geotargeting, traffic source optimization, keyword targeting and category targeting.

If you do decide to try the technology, make sure that your measurement tactics include brand affinity and future purchase intention analysis, as the clicks from the display ad generally don't tell the whole story. Last but not least, make sure that you ask the ad company where your ads could potentially show up. Sometimes, people have found that their ads showed up on sites that weren't exactly representative of their business model.

Have you tried ad retargeting or any other relatively new online marketing tactic? What did you think about your experience?

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Market, Polk (07.14.2010)

Facebook Fans Your Best Salespeople

Wednesday, June 23, 2010 by Therran Oliphant
If you regularly check the tech blogosphere, then you'll notice that there has been an increased focus on the value of Facebook Fans to businesses. The catalyst to much of this discussion is a report from Syncapse, entitled "Value of a Facebook Fan." I'm intrigued by the dollar value study of a tool that should be used mainly for PR purposes, so I delved into the 18 page report and scrutinized it for you.

The fundamental question is, whether any of this information can help change behavior to increase profits or brand affinity scores through Facebook efforts. Here are my thoughts:

Product Spending
Syncapse noted that, on average, Facebook Fans spend $71.84 more than Non-Fans, annually. It is also true that the value difference is highly variant - depending on the brand - from a few thousand dollars to zero. Having a knowledge of this stat for your brand can be important in understanding purchase behavior of hand raisers in general, more than Facebook Fans in particular.

Brand Loyalty
Facebook Fans average a 28% higher likelihood to continue using brands they Fan. This is not surprising, and can probably be tied more to brand/product health than the value of a Fan. While the act of Liking, Friending, and Fanning are low impact, the effect on your News Feed (Facebook's Real-Time updates) can be great - annoying even. Therefore, people that Fan a brand must be doing so for one of two reasons. First, they want to receive discounts and specials. Second, they want to stay informed on the happenings of your brand. Neither of those delineate much about the dollar value of that fan.

Propensity to Recommend
This I believe to be the most important online statistic when discussing brand performance and Fan valuation. Syncapse found that Fans were 41% more likely to recommend brands they "Liked" to their network than non-fans. Matched with a study from Econsultancy last July, that stated "90% of people online trust recommendations from people they know; 70% trust opinions of unknown users," indicates a higher dollar value of a Fan.

When I think of my own behavior online, I realize that whenever I'm unsure of product or brand differences, I bring it to my network and almost blindly take the most popular advice from subject matter experts. Therefore, it is obvious that it is very important to build a well-informed fan base, if you're hoping to use Facebook for market penetration.

Brand Affinity
Syncapse found that 89% of Fans felt positive feelings toward the brand, compared with 49% of non-fans. This stat may explain the higher likelihood of repeat purchases and propensity to recommend. Obviously, depending on your business, this qualitative measurement can vary quite a bit but also may only indicate a predisposition to the brand due to the fact that they've already stated their "Like" of your brand through the simple act of becoming a fan.

I feel as though this report served to put some substantive numbers behind assumptive estimations rather than any actionable dollar value analysis. I did learn that I have an opportunity to greatly increase my evangelists using social media, which can lead to greater sales and increased revenue. So, the most important thing to do with a Fan Page could be to increase your Fans' knowledge about your brand so that they can become your best salespeople. Plus, they can help you become more transparent and liked (in the general sense) which means only positive in the important world of online recommendations.

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Market, Polk (06.23.2010)

Q1 2010 Class 8 Truck Market: Tepid Improvement

Friday, June 4, 2010 by Therran Oliphant
This post symbolizes the equivalent of the proverbial 'grasping at straws'. Much like the overall economy, it is still difficult to see any major improvements in the commercial vehicle market. Q1 2010 did realize a 2.4% increase in year-over-year sales in Class 8's, though.

When broken down, I noticed that the higher volume tractor segment carried the bulk of the growth with nearly 2,500 more registrations than Q1 2009. The biggest decline was realized in the Class 8 straight truck market with over 1,000 fewer registrations from last year. The total number of registrations was 25,264 which was a 624 vehicle improvement over last year. If that sales trend continues, then we'll see about a 3,300 vehicle increase at the end of the year. You won't see dancing in the streets but there is little to complain about if that holds up.

The volume winners were, predictably, Freightliner and International but the Paccar folks get honorable mention for their combined Kenworth and Peterbilt numbers.

I do assume that there will be heavy buying just before commerce increases, due to pent-up demand. On average, trucks on the road are older than they have been in a long time and newer equipment will be necessary to handle the jobs of the future. Not to mention, the government is serious about emissions standards which will create a market in itself. Still, I don't think major sales growth is likely until late Q3 into Q4.

What do you think about the time horizon for the commercial truck market to spring back to life? Are there factors that weigh in to your decision? Put your prognostication hats on; I'm interested to know what you think!

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Market, Polk (06.04.2010)

In the Ram Zone

Friday, May 28, 2010 by Therran Oliphant
Usually you hear of athletes being in the zone and they say phrases like, "the goal looked like an ocean," and "the game seemed to slow down." Well, ever since breaking away from Dodge and becoming their own brand, Ram Trucks has been in the zone - literally and figuratively. Their aptly named blog, "The Ram Zone" represents the engagement centerpiece of the Ram Trucks Integrated Marketing Communications strategy. This along with an excellent product will surely make for brand resonance with Ram owners, and a recognized personality that is unmistakably unique to Ram Trucks alone.  They are reaching people through a variety of digital channels, experiential events, in-store promotions and partnerships.  I'm pretty impressed with what the Ram people have accomplished in a few short months. The following is what I've noticed.

Social Media Marketing
The main piece, as I previously mentioned, is their blog The Ram Zone. Here you can keep up with all news Ram, while registering to join the community so you can comment about the stories and connect with other Ram owners. Additionally, there is a gallery with tons of immersive  pictorial content. Most important, the blog promotes a Ram Trucks lifestyle that is decidedly tough, hard-working and showing a love for the great outdoors.

There are also easy navigation buttons to the flickr page, and Facebook Fan page where there are nearly 21,000 fans of Ram Trucks. Many of these fans have uploaded pictures and descriptions of their Ram truck, which has created a strong community. They also have a twitter feed, but there doesn't seem to be as much engagement here. It is just a barrage of event details and tweets containing pictures of those events. They also have their own YouTube channel, with videos of Rams doing some gnarly things.

Strategic Partnerships
When developing a new brand, it is often easier to introduce your position by attaching to a more established name and/or cause to create the desired emotive affect. That is what Ram Trucks has done with Letters for Lyrics and the Zac Brown Band. They're attempting to get to 1,000,000 letters to soldiers in war zones, while offering some great concerts and music. Dealers benefit too, because the repositories for the letters are only at Ram Trucks locations.

As the website states, the promotion works like this:
  1. Write a letter to a soldier
  2. Take it to a Ram dealer
  3. Receive the free CD
Experiential Events
Finally, Ram Trucks is taking their Motor Trend Truck of the year all over the place to compete in sled pulls, do demonstrations for on-lookers or create viral videos of Rams doing outrageous stuff. Then, to bring it all home, they post the videos and pics up on their website, flickr, YouTube, Facebook, twitter feed, write blog posts and promote lively discussion in all those places.

No matter where they have shown up, Ram Trucks have promoted their slogan...which is either "Get Some Mud on Your Tires," or "Nothing Works Harder than a Ram." Either one works. What do you think of the new Ram Trucks brand? Have they captured your attention with their aggressive brand messaging?

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Market, Polk (05.28.2010)

Hybrid Technology: The Rodney Dangerfield of Trucking

Thursday, April 29, 2010 by Therran Oliphant
At the American Truck Dealers Conference (ATD) there is revelry, exhibiting and palm pushing in an exhaustive 4-day event that covers all things a truck dealer could possibly be concerned with. This offshoot of the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) event boasts 'make' meetings, industry workshops and transportation industry banter.

This year, we found ourselves in sunny Orlando where the weather was hot, and so was the competition for truck of the year. All entrants were worthy contenders, creating a heated competition. All of the entries are great trucks, so picking a winner is kind of like choosing between strawberry and chocolate ice cream. I say just go with Neopolitan! But my diplomatic ways have no pull with the ATD judging committee.

The medium duty truck competition was stiff. Kenworth entered the T-370 Diesel-Electric Hybrid which can boost emissions and fuel economy by up to 50%. Hino entered their market share machine, the 268, with Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) engine choices new for 2011. Freightliner entered its first ever gas-powered vehicle, the M2 112. Finally, Peterbilt rounded out the competition with its flagship 337 model truck. Given the amount of attention being paid to fuel economy and 2010 emissions standards, I was surprised the Kenworth T-370 Diesel Hybrid wasn't declared the winner. Instead, the Hino 268 won.

The Heavy Duty competition was also fierce. Kenworth entered the T660 Extended day cab, which does well with regional hub-and-spoke haulers while extending the day cab market for Kenworth. Peterbilt put its 384 model in this category - it is a leader in clean platform technology. The last truck in this segment was the Freightliner Coronado, a beast of a truck with optional front axle ratings of up to 22K lbs and rear axles of up to 70K lbs. The Heavy Duty choice was the Peterbilt 384. The technology from the LNG and CNG power platforms - designed by Wesport - were recognized as fuel efficient and friendly by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). The distinction is great but the technology only makes the truck 2007 emissions compliant. Although it can use biofuel and natural gas, it is not 2010 ready. I can't help but think that it would be nice to award the Freightliner Coronado which is 2010 emissions compliant.

All of the trucks are of the highest quality, but I personally would have liked to see the judging committee reward the most energy efficient models, given the current state of the vehicle climate and need for fostering innovation to keep costs down for carriers. Those are my thoughts. What are yours?



Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Market, Polk (04.29.2010)


Ford Continues to Connect

Tuesday, January 5, 2010 by Therran Oliphant

If you're like me, you're probably wondering why Ford has come out with a new product in the Medium Duty Commercial Vehicle Market segment this fiscal year, when industry sales are expected to be weaker than original forecasts. If you did wonder, then you haven't seen the Ford Transit Connect. An unabashed, small (don't dare call it mini) van that promises to be the vehicle version of a multi-tasking child that is watching television, playing a computer game, and text messaging their friends all at the same time.

The six-foot six-inch height is surprising and creates a roomy, if not downright capacious space for whatever application the owner can imagine. Plus, Edmunds lists the vehicle with a 23 mpg fuel rating and 135 cu. ft. of cargo space all at a price tag of $20.8K - welcome specs for the small business owner looking to save, in all areas of their business, without sacrificing quality. If you need power, though, then this vehicle may not be for you. The 4 cylinder engine is only putting out 128 lbs. ft. of torque at 4750 rpm. The horsepower story isn't much better with 136 hp at 6300 rpm.

I still think this vehicle has the opportunity to be a game-changing crossover in the commercial and consumer vehicle markets alike. The large space gives contractors, small business owners and shuttle services the opportunity to use a smaller, more fuel efficient vehicle with enough room to handle all of their needs. For the consumer, the Transit Connect has an optional three-across bench style second row seat. This could mean a multitude of uses for drivers with wheelchairs, families with an active lifestyle, small bands and folks who simply dig the quirkiness of the vehicle.

Ford has also reached out to the earth friendly crowd - they will be happy to know that Consumer Reports mentioned Ford's plans to come out with a battery-electric hybrid version this year. It seems as though the hits just keep on coming for Ford as they add to the ever-popular Mustang muscle car and F-Series trucks with the Connect, redesigned Fusion and Taurus. Suddenly Ford's vehicle lineup is looking quite strong and attractive. They may even prompt me to take the, "Have you driven a Ford lately" challenge to heart, and actually drive one instead of simply answering, "No."

I am excited to start seeing these vehicles on the road here in the U.S. instead of pictures from Europe but I'm even more excited to see what effect the vehicle will have on the industry trend to produce larger - more powerful and roomy - but less efficient vehicles. What effect do you think the new Ford Transit Connect will have on the market?

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Truck Group, Polk (01.05.2010)

B2B Email Marketing is Here to Stay

Wednesday, November 18, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

Everywhere you look, you'll find blogs and articles buzzing about the topic of Social Media. Meanwhile the topic of "email" is getting pushed into the digital marketing archives. Yet, many of my customers keep asking me about emails. "What do you see as some of the best practices for email marketing?" "Is email better than social media for direct marketing?" "Why are so many of my emails not going through to the intended recipient?" It sounds to me that email isn't anywhere near dead. I think savvy business professionals realize that email is still great for parts and service reminders, promoting dialogue with loyal customers and targeting special offers. So, to all of you who asked, I offer the following:

Your email is always with you
Smartphone usage has skyrocketed - especially for executives and decision-makers. Do that receiver a favor and send emails that are viewable, with links that go to Smartphone friendly websites, so that your messages have more of an opportunity of being read. Therefore, graphically rich emails with links to content rich sites may not be the best option for increasing read rates.

Social media and email are integrated
Email is one of the best ways to share your social network profiles via signature tagging. Mashable gives us a guide to the five best tools to use for aggregating networks and offering solutions to "unclutter" your signature line with all of those networks. Additionally, using social media is one of the best ways to share emails. "Share - to - social" can increase email reach by more than 24%, as noted in Media Post - so don't see them as separate, but linked technologies that can help integrate your message through multiple platforms.

Email volume is rising
The Email Stat Center displays some amazing usage statistics that blew my mind. The one that surprised me the most was that of the 70% of people that have multiple email accounts, they will receive nearly 600 emails per week! Wow! This indicates a need to be able to get through the clutter. Plus, those users are probably extremely sophisticated. Therefore, we must be cognizant of subject lines, copy, and offers so that our emails are opened. The caveat to this positive centers around managing that volume properly. Many email professionals believe that overly frequent messaging can get you designated as a spammer. Before beginning a campaign, look into the best practices of your industry and email marketing to ensure you're viewed as the quality organization you want to portray.

My personal recommendation to accomplish the former are:

  • Never include the name of the person in the subject line. You will be labeled a spammer if you do this.
  • Get to the point. If I'm reading 600 emails a week, I don't have the time to sift through an ambiguous communication to get to the offer.
  • Give the receiver a chance to dialogue with your organization. One of the most important lessons of social media is that people want to dialogue and be a part of a larger conversation.
  • Targeting for the commercial vehicle market is paramount. After you develop your target market, get out there and communicate! Happy emailing.

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Truck Group, Polk (11.18.2009)

Engine Wars: Exhaust Gas Recirculation v. Selective Catalytic Reduction

Tuesday, October 13, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

Everyone in the Commercial Vehicle Market is well aware of the 2010 emissions regulations that will take effect January 1, 2010. Thanks to one brave company we have a battle over which technology will be the best - Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR) engines versus Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) engines is as classic a conflict as Road Runner versus Wylie Coyote or Rocky versus Apollo.

Navistar, with it's MaxxForce engines will be the sole maker of EGR in America, and they have waged a full-scale marketing campaign to tout their dominance, claiming "Simplicity vs. Complexity." They are following in the footsteps of MAN and Scania - two European engine manufacturers - that were making SCR engines and have since switched to the EGR solution. Navistar will need to use carbon credits  to make their MaxxForce engines compliant with the emissions standards though.

Every other engine maker (Cummins, DDC, Volvo, MB, Mack, etc.) will offer the SCR solution in 2010, claiming they actually meet the 2010 emissions regulations for Particulate Matter (PM)—0.01 g/bhp-hr, Nitrogen Oxide (NOx)—0.20 g/bhp-hr, and Non-Methane Hydrocarbons (NMHC)—0.14 g/bhp-hr. They also note that the urea solution will be seamless to maintain.

There is certainly a tough decision to be made between the two. One offers simplicity, while the other offers the most complete solution to the current emission standards. For your fleet going forward,  which solution (EGR or SCR) do you think you'll go with? If so, what makes you prefer one solution over the other?

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Truck Group, Polk (10.13.2009)

“Independents Day” is Coming for the Automotive Aftermarket Industry

Friday, October 9, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

Listen-up independent repair facilities! Pontiac, Saturn, Hummer and Oldsmobile brands alone represent 15.2 million vehicles on America's roads today. Combined with the closing of many OEM locations and the consolidation of their networks to meet vehicle sales projections, you should now ask yourself, "Who's going to service and sell parts for all of these vehicles?" There is no question that consumers are keeping their cars for a longer period of time, prompting a greater need to pay for parts and service.

Source: R. L. Polk & Co. Market Study: Consumer Sentiment During Challenging Times, 2009.

I don't know too many people who enjoy reveling in the misery or demise of others. I do know how to recognize an opportunity when I see one, though. It's like this time when I was a junior in high school and the kid in front of me on the basketball team went down with an injury. I got my shot, added value to the team and earned some playing time. Did I enjoy seeing him in pain or losing minutes on the floor just because he got hurt? No, but I did relish the chance and take advantage of the opportunity that was presented me.

There is a bittersweet opportunity available to the automotive aftermarket in the near future. For independent repair facilities, there may be an even greater opportunity because studies suggest there are exorbitant differences in parts and labor costs between franchise dealers and independent repair facilities. This is just the type of play that could keep independent repair facilities ahead of the game.

I heard much lament over Cash for Clunkers stealing some of the volume from the automotive aftermarket. Although those concerns are valid, the future is looking brighter. Even though I don't see fireworks and hotdogs on the horizon, I still feel confident calling it "Independents Day".

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Polk (10.09.2009)

Advertising at 60 Miles Per Hour

Wednesday, September 16, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

It is almost as if a page has been taken off of the NASCAR sheet metal, stretched out and applied to the side of a van trailer via heat gun appliqué - literally. In recent months, it seems as though there are fleets and advertisers willing to use the vast roadway system, in the form of heavy and medium duty truck van trailers, to promote their brands. This growing trend is moving the needle for some companies, while supplying incremental revenue within the commercial vehicle market.

 

 

For too long, heavy duty trucks have just been behemoths on the road catching the curses and impatience of non-commercial drivers. The dots were never connected; "full truck + safe delivery = merchandise in stores." Maybe now the equation will be made more clear, giving the commercial truck driver a little more respect for transporting the nation's goods.

One study, conducted by Truck Ads LLC®, showed that 90% of people viewing commercial vehicle ads had favorable images of the brand. While that is great for the advertiser, some truck outdoor advertising agencies are offering drivers and fleets up to $10,000 a year for the use of their trailer space. With gas and maintenance costs perpetually rising, transportation companies, fleets and the owner operator could all benefit from this kind of additional revenue, with gas and maintenance costs.

Truck Ads® also boasts excellent ad rates, offering a good bang for your advertising buck. The cost per thousand is 50% less expensive than Bus and 0.6% the cost of Direct Mail. I love the idea, because it truly capitalizes on catching captive audiences in a passive manner. Plus, it is economical for the advertiser and highly geographically targetable.

Media Rates Comparison Chart (Cost Per Thousand)

Source: Truck Ads LLC®

Measurement is made easy with technology, as GPS units measure Gross Ratings Points (GRPs) based on the vehicles' location. Thus, the advertiser can keep real-time statistics about the number of people viewing their ads, and match that up to sales and product inquiry numbers to evaluate campaign effectiveness. Advertisers can further the campaign effectiveness by researching registrations of vehicles in the Designated Market Areas (DMA) that contain vehicle concentrations most likely owned by their demographic targets.

Under the stress test of necessary components for quality advertising, advertising on Commercial Vehicle Trailers hits the mark at high speed.

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Truck Group, Polk (09.16.2009)

It's Not the Size of the Engine but the Load on the Road

Friday, August 28, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

Typically, I'm pretty good at predicting trends in the commercial vehicle market. This particular occasion, though, I was stumped with a capital "S." I thought that with the glut of engine and emissions regulation changes, there would be a noticeable increase in the sales trend for vehicles with medium-sized engines putting out less Horsepower, Particulate Matter (PM) and Nitrogen Oxide (NOx). The smallest engines are too uneconomical for heavy duty trucks, and larger engines are too heavy and full of pollutants - so naturally the engines in the 10 liter to 13 liter groove would be growing in acceptance, right!? Right? Well, you know what go-eth before the fall.

To prove my point (rather than find the facts), I crunched some numbers. Turns out, medium-sized engines have been dropping in popularity with surprising regularity. In fact, over the past five years, engines with a liter size between 10.8-13 have gone from 41% of the engine population to under 30% of the engine population in class 8 trucks.

The above means that 14 liter engines and larger, combined with all small engines under 10.8 liters, have risen from 59% of the total population to just over 70% in the past five years. I have surmised transportation companies, and the commercial vehicle industry in general, are going through a shift in business practices. Some companies are committing to more local transit, while others have stuck to their long-haul roots. Thus, smaller engines have been mated to local transit trucks, and the larger engines with more power and lasting ability have been placed in the long-haul carriers - at least this is my assumption. I personally don't care what the size of the engine is on the truck as long as the load is on the road, but I am interested in sales trends so I would love to know if the engine size in your truck is consistent with my findings - and if so why?

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Group, Polk (08.28.2009)

4 Easy Social Media Tactics for Commercial Truck Organizations

Friday, August 21, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

Everywhere I turn, I'm seeing businesses getting into the Social Media "Matrix." The Commercial Vehicle Market as a business-to-business (B2B) industry has its own set of challenges when it comes to social media. Let's face it, social media is scary because it merges relationship building with technology, and explaining how it works and why it is necessary, to C-Level executives can be tricky.

Today, let's examine four ways that a Commercial Vehicle Organization can create social impact, without investing too much cash or time.

1. Define Objectives
Step one does not have to be overly complicated. The objectives can be as simple as, "We want to generate 20 new impressions (connections) per week via social tools." As with any initiative, the need to measure success and define strategy is paramount, so set realistic, measurable and time-specific goals.

2. Start a blog!
Leverage multiple knowledge centers within the organization to keep updated content flowing through this space. The benefits you can realize are: targeting of long tail search terms back to your content; being seen as a thought leader in the industry; potential dialogue with your customers; and gaining backlink relevance to your website.

3. Turn Your Website Social
Find your second most popular webpage, and use some ingenuity to make that page a social destination. For dealers, that page may be the Parts and Service or About Us page. Corporate entities will usually find that page to be the About Us page, or the Product Update pages. You can find your most popular pages via Google Analytics.

Make the About Us page social by adding links to LinkedIn profiles and adding videos and pictures. The added value benefit with these solutions are that they're great Search Engine Optimization (SEO) tools because search engine "spiders" love video, web links, and relevant text.

I would also suggest adding "Subscribe" and "Share" buttons to your frequently updated content. This can be done by adding a follow widget to your News & White Papers pages and/or your blog. Sites like Add to Any have great widgets that can be easily installed to your site.

4. Utilize Trade Shows
Trade shows are often a necessary part of the B2B company's marketing budget, and rightfully so. Large numbers of target customers can generate good leads; companies make big announcements at trade shows; and relationships can be developed over after-show dinner and cocktails.

One tactic is to live-blog or tweet (using Twitter) from the next show. Not every company is able to attend, and you can be their eyes and ears.

Facebook Fan Pages even have practical applications. Invite some of your contacts to a cocktail reception or demonstration at your booth by emailing them through your fan page list.

The most important thing to remember is to stay social and true to your corporate personality. B2B interactions, while professional, can be less formal. Social media represents an opportunity to form relationships and define the personality of your organization.

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Group, Polk (08.21.2009)

The Adventures of Super Mario in the Commercial Vehicle Market - Part 2

Friday, August 14, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

A few days ago in my last blog post, I started a game of Commercial Vehicle Market Super Mario Brothers – an analysis of near-term sales trends within the context of Super Mario. I looked at the number of buyers in the market (less than before,) and the number of vehicles buyers are purchasing (consistent with past trends). Now, my game continues...and I’m down to my final "man."

I decide to look at commercial vehicle pricing for 2010, when I run across an article out of HDMA telling me that surcharges will be passed along to the customer from the OEMs because it is more expensive to produce the Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) and Exhaustive Gas Recirculation (EGR) engines that are compliant with the 2010 government regulations. What!? Now is certainly not the time to raise prices - and although I'm not clutching my chest and claiming that this is the "big one" like Fred Sanford - I am actually getting worried. At this point, I feel like I've carelessly lost another Super Mario and it is taking all of my energy to keep from hitting my giggling and pointing brother.

Alright, this is my last Mario and I'm going to make it count. Except, my brother walks by and punches me in the shoulder for the dirty look I gave him. This of course happens right as I start Mario out on the course. The problem that has derailed this train of positivity? Overcapacity. The numbers suggest that there are 300,000 idle vehicles currently owned but not in use, or with lapsed registrations. Now I could complain but I know the cheat code, which gives me one extra man to go on with. My other profit centers can - and will continue to - trend upward.

Focusing resources toward aging and overused fleets can effectively shield Class 8 Truck dealers from a new truck sales slump. While the information may be unpleasant, there is some speculation that buying will resume to normal to increased levels in the next 12 months. Although the typical indicators may not be the key to profitability, I can always redefine success. While sales in 2009 may not spike like they did in 2006 for the emissions changes, the sales trends uncovered lead to a clear conclusion. The best thing to remember is the multiple profit center philosophy...when one is under-performing, like New Truck Sales, there is opportunity to make some profit in the others. So look forward to the Parts and Service, Finance, and Used Truck Departments' strength or, risk getting beaten by the game and laughed at by your brother.

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Group, Polk (08.14.2009)

The Adventures of Super Mario in the Commercial Vehicle Market - Part 1

Wednesday, August 12, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

Impending emissions standards increases usually signal the flood of pre-orders for trucks. Yet, it is August and there still is no indication that there will be any pull-ahead sales. This got me to thinking...can the pull-ahead sales trends be predicted by the number of fleet purchases? More importantly, will 2009 resemble 2006 when new emissions standards slated to go into effect the next year help "pull" an increase of New Truck Sales?

The assumption is that there are fewer buyers in the market, so we need to find the actual number of potential purchasers because they are an important indicator of the commercial vehicle market's volume potential. Therefore, the first variable to measure - in my quest to calculate the industry's near-term fate - is an estimated number of companies that will need to buy based on prior activity. As was assumed, there are far fewer fleets purchasing in 2009 - somewhere to the tune of 25% fewer than at this same point in 2008.

Learning this particular fact made me feel like a young boy playing Super Mario Bros. 3 when a turtle would bite him and Mario lost a special power or shrunk to "Mini Mario" under the weight of the player's ineptitude. Instead, the economy is the player and the market conditions are the snapping turtles nipping at young Mario's heels (who of course is also known as industry variables). Usually, in those days, as the game player (or class 8 truck dealer in this case) I would tell myself that this is merely a setback; I will make it up by grabbing some extra stars to get an additional "man."

Undaunted, I figure that there may be some light at the end of the tunnel, so I go hunting for commercial vehicle market stars. I decide that I can estimate the average number of purchases by isolating all of the New Vehicle registrations each company has made during the year. I'm hoping that a lack of activity in the beginning of the year will indicate that everyone is playing the waiting game for the 4th quarter. When dissected by industry, fleet purchase averages seem to line up with other years - all years except 2006 when pull-ahead sales for new emissions standards stimulated the industry.

In other words, those who are purchasing are buying the same average number of vehicles per purchase as in past years. This statistic lets me know that the people that are buying have not treated this current emission reduction like the last fleet update period - buying light early to purchase heavy at the end of the year. Now, my first Mario has been killed and I'm getting a little upset. This is okay, because sometimes a little anger only makes you more focused to play the second man, so I know I can handle this.

Join me for Part 2 of this blog post when I continue my game of Super Mario and my look at near-term sales and industry trends in the commercial vehicle market.

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Group, Polk (08.12.2009)

The U. S. Commercial Vehicle Market Crystal Ball

Monday, July 6, 2009 by Therran Oliphant

I can almost see the headlines on CNBC or Fox Business noting that occult store stock has surged, due to the preponderant purchase of soothsayer assistance items. Magic 8 balls will reach the spire of their economic demand since being paired with lava lamps, and businesses will start hiring mystics to work with their economists and business analysts. Maybe that is more than a little far-fetched, but to assure ourselves we never reach the point of crystal ball and lucky rabbit's foot dependence, the commercial vehicle industry must go through some realistic and sound self-assessment. More than ever, my customers are looking toward forecasting tools in the hopes of gleaning enough  knowledge about their market and the business climate to make informed decisions that will mitigate the effects of the slumping economy on their businesses.

While the industry is extraordinarily complex and there are no one-size-fits-all solutions, there are some major points of emphasis that may act as a general indicator, applicable to most businesses looking for some direction. The three following issues can greatly impact the decision-making process of just about any business in the commercial vehicle market.

First, diesel engine emissions standards are becoming increasingly tough. This is especially true in the heavy duty segment, and it has already shown up in new vehicle registration volumes over the past 2-1/2 years. Meanwhile, at the other end of the spectrum, class 3-5 vehicles have increased their market share 3% - to 41.6% of the total truck market - in the same time frame. Look for this industry trend to continue as the projected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of Class 8 vehicles looks very weak until 2013. 2009 new vehicle registration volumes will fall again, to 380,600 vehicles. This number is less than half of the new vehicle registrations of 2006. VIO is still expected to climb, which suggests there will also be much less scrappage than in years past. On the positive side, the combination of those two metrics should mean an increase in used vehicle volumes and parts and service activity. Third, we can safely say that the industry will start to recover by Q1 2010, with the overall business climate of the country and the world. Commercial vehicle registrations will rebound to above 2008 levels as early as next year. Survival is the key to reaping the benefits of the upcoming growth markets, but we know bear-like hibernation is not an option until then. 

How do you plan to maximize profit before the impending demand spurs need?
Polk Solutions Consultant Dave Goebel speaks about these issues in much greater depth in this Polk View, "The Future of the Commercial Vehicle Market." 

In a stormy business climate, navigating the troubled waters effectively can mean the difference between capsizing or making it safely back to harbor. Question is, are you using a compass or a talisman to get there?

Posted by Therran Oliphant, Account Representative, Commercial Vehicle Group, Polk (07.06.2009)